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LNA’s bid to control Libyan national institutions increases risk of renewed fighting between western and eastern militias
Libyan National Army (LNA) spokesperson General Ahmed al-Mismari, speaks at a news conference in the eastern city of Benghazi on 21 June 2018. Source: Abdullah Doma/AFP/Getty ImagesAttack on Ethiopian PM’s rally unlikely an assassination attempt, but indicates increased violence risk from hostile elements
Ethiopian police intervene during a rally in support of Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, after a grenade blast in Meskel Square, Addis Ababa, on 23 June. Source: Yonas Tadesse/AFP/Getty ImagesMass trial of alleged jihadists indicates high attack risk for Western targets in Senegal from returning fighters
Senegalese soldiers parade during the closing ceremony of the Operation Flintlock anti-terrorist exercises in Saint-Louis in February 2016. Source: Seyllou/AFP/Getty ImagesIslamic State’s intent to disrupt elections in Iraq, Libya, and Tunisia will indicate group’s enduring capabilities
A general view of the damage at the Libyan electoral commission headquarters in Tripoli, Libya, after it was targeted by suicide bombers on 2 May 2018. Source: Mahmud Turkia/AFP/Getty Images
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Clash kills four security forces personnel and three unidentified militants in Jordan's Balqa
FOUR security forces personnel and three unidentified militants were killed in an armed clash during a counter-terrorism raid on a building in the town of Salt in Jordan's Balqa governorate on 11 August, Al-Jazeera reported. Reports stated that as security forces attempted to enter the building, a
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Failed suicide bombing indicates jihadist threat to Egypt’s Copt minority and relative success of security operations on ‘mainland’
Event On 11 August 2018 a lone bomber detonated his improvised explosive device (IED) belt in the Mostorod district of Shubra El Kheima in Qalyubiyah governorate, 11.5 km north of the capital, Cairo. Egyptian state media claimed that the target was Coptic Christians worshipping in the Virgin Mary
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Suicide attack targets Coptic church in Egypt's Qalyubuyah
A SUICIDE bomber detonated their explosives 250 metres from a Coptic Christian church in Egypt's Qalyubiyah governorate on 11 August, killing only the attacker, Reuters and MENA reported. Reports added that security forces around the church hindered the attack, prompting the bomber to detonate their
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Unidentified assailants daub church in sectarian graffiti in County Londonderry in Northern Ireland
IN A STATEMENT released on 31 July, police official reported that unidentified assailants had daubed paramilitary graffiti - reading 'UDA' and 'UFF' (in reference to the Ulster Defence Association (UDA) [alias Ulster Freedom Fighters (UFF)]) - on the doors and walls of St. Mary's parish church on
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Unidentified assailants spray anti-Semitic graffiti on synagogue's property in the US' Indiana
UNIDENTIFIED assailants spray-painted anti-Semitic graffiti and Nazi symbols on the brick wall of a synagogue's property in Carmel in the state of Indiana in the United States between 28 and 29 July, Fox News reported. The damages cost approximately USD 3,000. No group immediately claimed
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UK revises counter-terrorism strategy ahead of Brexit
The United Kingdom has revised its CONTEST counter-terrorism strategy ahead of its exit from the European Union. Matthew Redhead examines the fourth version of CONTEST against the backdrop of Brexit and uncertain EU-UK security co-operation -
Indicators track Iranian threat to Strait of Hormuz shipping
Any Iranian attempt to close the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping is a low-probability, high-impact scenario with global ramifications. As Iran-US tensions heighten ahead of Washington’s reimposition of sanctions on Tehran from 6 August, Jeremy Binnie , Reed Foster , and Nazanin Soroush analyse the indicators of conflict in the Strait and the likely trajectory of any confrontation -
US encourages Indo-Pacific CT and CVE co-operation
States across the Indo-Pacific region face a range of challenges in designing and implementing effective counter-terrorism and counter-violent extremism strategies. Andrew White reports from the Daniel K Inouye Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies in Hawaii on how the US is providing support and assistance
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ELN peace negotiations face high risk of failure as new Colombian government likely to introduce unacceptable demands
Key Points President Iván Duque has been highly critical of peace negotiations between the former Santos administration and the Ejército de Liberación Nacional (ELN). The Duque administration has given itself 30 days to evaluate the state of peace talks with the ELN. The new
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Update: Taliban launches attack on Ghazni City
Taliban fighters launched a multi-pronged attack on the capital of Afghanistan’s eastern Ghazni Province on 10 August, killing more than 170 security forces personnel. At the time of this update, however, five days into the fighting they have failed to bring the strategically located city
CBRN Assessment CBRN Assessment
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Indian compliance with aggressive US sanctions on crude exports increases risk of Iran resuming nuclear programme
Key Points This position marks a significant shift in US sanctions enforcement policy; during the 2012–15 sanctions period under former US president Barack Obama’s administration, the importers of Iranian crude oil qualified for waivers from US sanctions if they demonstrated
Jane's Intelligence Review Jane's Intelligence Review
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ELN peace negotiations face high risk of failure as new Colombian government likely to introduce unacceptable demands
Key Points President Iván Duque has been highly critical of peace negotiations between the former Santos administration and the Ejército de Liberación Nacional (ELN). The Duque administration has given itself 30 days to evaluate the state of peace talks with the ELN. The new
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Caspian Sea agreement confirms Russian military dominance while increasing likelihood of Azeri-Turkmen gas pipeline project’s delays
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Failed suicide bombing indicates jihadist threat to Egypt’s Copt minority and relative success of security operations on ‘mainland’
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Successful attack demonstrates militant intent to target Jordan’s security forces and Christians, likely improved IED capabilities
