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Likely new jihadist cell in eastern Burkina Faso poses elevated kidnap, death and injury risks to foreigners
Burkinabé soldiers take part in military anti-terrorism exercises on 13 April at the Kamboinsé General Bila Zagre military camp near Ouagadougou. Source: Issouf Sanogo/AFP/Getty ImagesLNA’s bid to control Libyan national institutions increases risk of renewed fighting between western and eastern militias
Libyan National Army (LNA) spokesperson General Ahmed al-Mismari, speaks at a news conference in the eastern city of Benghazi on 21 June 2018. Source: Abdullah Doma/AFP/Getty ImagesAttack on Ethiopian PM’s rally unlikely an assassination attempt, but indicates increased violence risk from hostile elements
Ethiopian police intervene during a rally in support of Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, after a grenade blast in Meskel Square, Addis Ababa, on 23 June. Source: Yonas Tadesse/AFP/Getty ImagesMass trial of alleged jihadists indicates high attack risk for Western targets in Senegal from returning fighters
Senegalese soldiers parade during the closing ceremony of the Operation Flintlock anti-terrorist exercises in Saint-Louis in February 2016. Source: Seyllou/AFP/Getty Images
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Islamic State claims IED attack on vehicle in Syria's Aleppo
Near Manbij's Sab'a Bahrat Square, Aleppo governorate, the Islamic State, via a statement on social media, claimed responsibility for an improvised explosive device (IED) attack targeting the vehicle of a Manbij Military Council intelligence unit, alleging that it had used an adhesive improvised
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Taliban militants kills 10 police officers in Afghanistan's Farah
TEN police officers were killed when Taliban militants attacked police checkpoints in Pusht Rod district in Afghanistan's Farah province on 16 September, Al Jazeera reported. Reports did not include details of Taliban casualties. The Taliban claimed responsibility for the attacks.
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Iraq’s Kurdish parliamentary election unlikely to stabilise regional governance; elevated risk of protests, terrorism during election period
Event There is a high likelihood of protests in cities across Iraqi Kurdistan, especially Sulaimaniya, ahead of the semi-autonomous region’s parliamentary elections scheduled for 30 September 2018. The region spans three provinces: Dohuk, Erbil, and Sulaimaniya. A parliamentary majority bloc
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Suicide attack kills at least seven people in Afghanistan's Kabul
AT LEAST seven people were killed and 25 others were wounded when a suicide bomber on a motorcycle detonated their explosives in Afghanistan's capital Kabul on 9 September targeting a procession commemorating the 17th anniversary of the death of anti-Soviet and Northern Alliance commander Ahmad Shah
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LRA militants release a hostage in the CAR's Haute-Kotto
Near Nzako city, Haute-Kotto prefecture, a group of suspected Lord's Resistance Army (LRA) militants released a woman due to her old age and critical health condition; the victim had been kidnapped on an earlier unspecified date, six months ago, in an unidentified village, in Haut-Mbomou prefecture.
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Software-defined radios point way for simpler direction finding
Advances in hardware and software are making it increasingly practical for open-source analysts to carry out radio direction finding. Tony Roper examines the impact the new tool is having on open-source analysis -
Unmanned assailants: Air defence against UAVs
Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) are becoming more widely available commercially than ever before and, as a result, the threat they pose against both military and civilian targets is increasing. Oscar Widlund reports -
Attack analysis: forensics in the cyber domain
Forensics is a key focus of the cyber domain and an essential component of investigating and preventing attacks. AI is opening new opportunities for the technology, but industry experts see a continuing, crucial role for the human analyst. Gerrard Cowen reports
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Thailand's 2019 election unlikely to alter military influence, civilian government likely to promote infrastructure spending, tax collection
Key Points Economic priorities remain the focus of major political parties and there is a high likelihood that current infrastructure projects and medium-term development plans will be continued by the new civilian government. In addition to pushing forward with PPP initiatives in selected
Military Capabilities Military Capabilities
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AFA 2018: Boeing believes US Air Force, not company, will select new engines for B-52
Key Points Boeing thinks the US Air Force will select the new engine for the B-52 It is unclear whether the USAF, or integrator Boeing, will choose the new engine because a formal acquisition strategy has not been released A Boeing executive believes it is likely the US Air Force (USAF), not the
CBRN Assessment CBRN Assessment
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Indian compliance with aggressive US sanctions on crude exports increases risk of Iran resuming nuclear programme
Key Points This position marks a significant shift in US sanctions enforcement policy; during the 2012–15 sanctions period under former US president Barack Obama’s administration, the importers of Iranian crude oil qualified for waivers from US sanctions if they demonstrated
Jane's Intelligence Review Jane's Intelligence Review
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Thailand's 2019 election unlikely to alter military influence, civilian government likely to promote infrastructure spending, tax collection
Key Points Economic priorities remain the focus of major political parties and there is a high likelihood that current infrastructure projects and medium-term development plans will be continued by the new civilian government. In addition to pushing forward with PPP initiatives in selected
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Planned mock presidential inauguration of opposition leader likely to lead to police crackdown, violent protests in Zimbabwe
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Second-round gubernatorial elections likely to trigger localised protests in Russia's Khakassia, Khabarovsk, and Vladimir regions
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Austro-German support for European Commission’s plan to widen Frontex mandate signifies progress towards reintroduction of Schengen rules
