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Southern Mali attack highlights likelihood of jihadist conflict reaching coastal West Africa, targeting foreigners, churches, mining companies
A French soldier of the Barkhane Force operation stands at a Malian Armed Forces (FAMa) base on 27 March 2019. Source: Daphne Benoit/AFP/Getty ImagesImplementation of ceasefire conditions reduces immediate likelihood of resumed escalation between Israel and Gazan militant groups
Gaza residents queue outside a post office in Gaza City to receive cash aid transfers from Qatar on 13 May 2019. Source: Mohammed Abed/AFP/Getty ImagesSri Lanka bombings point to likely involvement of Islamic State and an established jihadist network, increasing threat
Sri Lankan security personnel stand guard in front of St Anthony's Shrine two days after it was attacked as part of a string of suicide bomb attacks on churches and hotels in Colombo on 23 April 2019. Source: Getty Images 1138828851Latest CAR peace deal unlikely to hold due to militia rivalry, with likely popular opposition triggering protests
President Faustin-Archange Touadéra speaks at the peace deal talks between the CAR government and 14 armed groups in Khartoum, Sudan, on 5 February. Source: Ashraf Shazly/AFP/Getty Images
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End of conscription exemption likely to drive increased insurgent violence in southern Syria
Key Points After the Syrian government ended the temporary exemption from military conscription in Deraa, arrests of those avoiding it are likely to contribute to an increase in insurgent attacks against security forces. Protests and low-level attacks against security forces have increased
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Several dozen casualties in Taliban attack in Kabul
Several people were killed and more than 90 others, including children, injured when Taliban fighters launched an attack against a government building on 1 July in an area of the Afghan capital, Kabul, housing military and government buildings, according to local media reports. The attack began
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Killing of three soldiers by Shining Path insurgents in Peru underlines continued sporadic threat to security forces
Three soldiers were killed by suspected Shining Path (Sendero Luminoso: SL) militants in the Valle de los Ríos Apurímac, Ene y Mantaro (VRAEM) region of central Peru on 25 June. According to a statement by Peru’s armed forces Joint Command, one soldier was killed when his patrol was
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Jane's Terrorism Country Briefing: Syria May 2019
Attack distribution Fatality distribution Idlib counter-terrorism Latakia attacks Principal tactics
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Islamist attacks on Burkinabe churches indicate a broadening strategy from stoking inter-ethnic violence to prioritising sectarian divisions
Suspected militant Islamist gunmen killed six people, including a priest, during a raid on a Catholic church in the town of Dablo in Burkina Faso’s Centre-Nord region on 12 May. Local officials stated that after opening fire on the congregation, the suspected militants set fire to the church
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Social media changes force OSINT practitioners to adapt
An apparent crackdown by social media platforms prompted concern in the OSINT community in June 2019. Veli-Pekka Kivimäki examines the changes that took place and assesses the outlook for the work of OSINT practitioners -
Islamic State shifts tactics in Iraq and Syria amid degrading capabilities
The Islamic State's reversion to an insurgency has been accompanied by shifts in targeting and a degradation of its capabilities. Barak Barfi uses Islamic State attack data and interviews with Iraqi and Syrian security sources to assess the threat posed by the group -
Risk of religious conflict in Sri Lanka increases
The April 2019 terrorist attacks in Sri Lanka focused attention on the unresolved communal tensions affecting the country. Derek Henry Flood examines the complex ethno-linguistic and religious divisions that are likely to shape the risk of further violence, potentially between Muslim and Buddhist communities
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Probable attempted talks with jihadists following Russia-Mali military deal likely to create splits weakening operational capacity
Malian Prime Minister Boubou Cissé on 7 July wrapped up a five-day trip to central Mali, where hundreds have been killed in inter-ethnic violence, pledging to increase security. His visit follows the signing of a Mali-Russia military agreement on 25 June by the two countries’ defence
Military Capabilities Military Capabilities
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USFK confirms North Korea’s Hwaseong-15 ICBM can target all of US mainland
United States Forces Korea (USFK) has confirmed North Korean claims that the Northeast Asian country’s Hwaseong-15 (also spelled Hwasong-15) road-mobile, intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) can strike targets anywhere in the US mainland. The weapon, which was test-fired by North Korea
CBRN Assessment CBRN Assessment
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USFK confirms North Korea’s Hwaseong-15 ICBM can target all of US mainland
United States Forces Korea (USFK) has confirmed North Korean claims that the Northeast Asian country’s Hwaseong-15 (also spelled Hwasong-15) road-mobile, intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) can strike targets anywhere in the US mainland. The weapon, which was test-fired by North Korea
Jane's Intelligence Review Jane's Intelligence Review
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Probable attempted talks with jihadists following Russia-Mali military deal likely to create splits weakening operational capacity
Malian Prime Minister Boubou Cissé on 7 July wrapped up a five-day trip to central Mali, where hundreds have been killed in inter-ethnic violence, pledging to increase security. His visit follows the signing of a Mali-Russia military agreement on 25 June by the two countries’ defence
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End of conscription exemption likely to drive increased insurgent violence in southern Syria
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Killing of three soldiers by Shining Path insurgents in Peru underlines continued sporadic threat to security forces
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US-sponsored Bahraini workshop highlights Israel’s relations normalisation with Gulf states, unlikely to restart Palestinian peace process
