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UAE hits back at AQAP payoff report
Brigadier Musallam al-Rashidi on 13 August 2018 shows a slide with a breakdown of the Yemeni forces that the UAE has trained. Source: WAMMattis sees future US space opportunities with Brazil
Sierra Nevada Corp’s weapons integration of Embraer’s Super Tucano aircraft is an example of US-Brazilian defence partnership. Source: EmbraerUpdate: Taliban launches attack on Ghazni City
Afghan soldiers converge on Afghanistan’s Ghazni City to repel a multi-pronged Taliban attack on the provincial capital that began on 10 August. Source: Afghan MoDCroatia negotiates F-16 deal with Israel as counterweight to Serbian MiG-29s
Israeli F-16 and Croatian MiG-21 flying over Knin on 5 August. Source: Croatian MoD/T Brandt, Croatian Air Force
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US expects China’s marine corps to grow to more than 30,000 personnel
The US Department of Defense (DoD) expects the size of China’s People’s Liberation Army Navy Marine Corps (PLANMC) to grow to more than 30,000 personnel by 2020, the DoD said in its 2018 China Military Power Report to the US Congress. Released on 16 August, the 130 page-long report
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Business as normal for anti-piracy task force post-Brexit, says EU NAVFOR
Key Points Operation ‘Atalanta’ headquarters will transfer from the United Kingdom to Spain in March 2019 The European Union and United Kingdom have not yet agreed post-Brexit defence and security arrangements EU Naval Force (NAVFOR) counter-piracy operations off the Horn of Africa
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Argentine Army receives first modernised FAL rifles
The Argentine Army has received the first batch of 292 7.62 mm FAL rifles modernised by Fábrica Militar Fray Luis Beltrán. The factory is part of the Dirección General de Fabricaciones Militares: the organisation under the Argentine Defence Ministry that produces weapons and
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China’s overwater bomber capabilities aimed at US, says DoD
Over the past three years China’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA) has rapidly expanded its overwater bomber operating areas, gaining experience in critical maritime regions and likely training for strikes against US and allied targets, the US Department of Defense (DoD) said in its 2018
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UK RAF Sentinels watch Crimea
Key Points RAF Sentinel R1 surveillance aircraft have been flying patrols around the Crimean peninsula since 13 July The aircraft’s radars can provide coverage of major Russian ports, airbases, missile sites, and troop positions UK Royal Air Force (RAF) Sentinel R1 surveillance aircraft
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Syrian Kurds remain steadfast in seeking autonomy
The majority-Kurdish areas east of the Euphrates in Syria are holding out for a deal with Damascus on autonomy. Jonathan Spyer reports from the region on its strategic importance for the country's future -
Survival of the fittest: pods and pylons still in vogue for fast jet self-protection
Add-on countermeasures systems continue to make an important contribution to combat aircraft survivability in hostile airspace. Richard Scott reports -
Heavy armour heritage: The evolution of the MBT and the search for its successor
Recent conflicts in Iraq, Syria, and Ukraine have demonstrated the continued effectiveness of MBTs on the twenty-first century battlefield. Sam Cranny-Evans explores how tank technology is evolving to ensure these platforms remain relevant
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Country Risk Country Risk
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Iran likely to turn to Russia, Turkey, and China to offset sanctions, not risk war over Hormuz
Key Points Iran is trying to consolidate politically and appease protesters to prevent sanctions from destabilising the country; this risks backfiring and reducing leadership cohesion. Iran will turn to China, Russia, and Turkey to reduce the impact of sanctions, but all three countries are
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Probe into war crimes accusations unlikely to lead to purges in Cameroonian army or end military offensives
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Romanian protests likely to prompt another government reshuffle, reducing capacity to pass new legislation
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Sudanese president's nomination for 2020 poll confirms prospects of extended term, reducing likelihood of contested succession
CBRN Assessment CBRN Assessment
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Indian compliance with aggressive US sanctions on crude exports increases risk of Iran resuming nuclear programme
Key Points This position marks a significant shift in US sanctions enforcement policy; during the 2012–15 sanctions period under former US president Barack Obama’s administration, the importers of Iranian crude oil qualified for waivers from US sanctions if they demonstrated
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US sanctions on Turkish ministers probably intended for US domestic political consumption; broader economic sanctions highly unlikely
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North Korean missile production highlights risk of returning hostility; US will not want talks to fail
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Update: US legislation proposes temporarily banning F-35 deliveries to Turkey
Terrorism & Insurgency Terrorism & Insurgency
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LNA’s bid to control Libyan national institutions increases risk of renewed fighting between western and eastern militias
Key Points On 25 June, Haftar handed over the control of Ras Lanuf and es-Sider oil ports to the eastern National Oil Corporation (NOC), which reports to the eastern-based government, which is not recognised internationally. In response, the Tripoli-based NOC declared force majeure on loadings from
Jane's Intelligence Review Jane's Intelligence Review
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Iran likely to turn to Russia, Turkey, and China to offset sanctions, not risk war over Hormuz
Key Points Iran is trying to consolidate politically and appease protesters to prevent sanctions from destabilising the country; this risks backfiring and reducing leadership cohesion. Iran will turn to China, Russia, and Turkey to reduce the impact of sanctions, but all three countries are
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Probe into war crimes accusations unlikely to lead to purges in Cameroonian army or end military offensives
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Ambush targeting police-escorted vehicles indicates growing terrorism risk to mining companies in eastern Burkina Faso
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Romanian protests likely to prompt another government reshuffle, reducing capacity to pass new legislation
