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Russia moves more strike assets to Eastern Mediterranean
A Russian Project 636.3 ‘Kilo’-class diesel-electric submarine – identified by Turkish ship spotters as - is escorted by a Turkish Coast Guard vessel as it makes a southbound transit through the Dardanelles on 15 March. Source: Burak Akay/Anadolu Agency/Getty ImagesMilitary helicopter manufacturers improve airworthiness in Amazon region
One of four Sikorsky S-70A (UH-60L equivalent) Black Hawk helicopters being used by Brazil’s army. The aircraft have been operational with the 4th Battalion in Manaus since 1997. Source: SikorskySingapore, Malaysia suspend overlapping maritime claims in waters off Tuas
Singapore's Littoral Mission Vessel RSS (right), keeping an eye on Malaysian Marine Department ship MV Pedoman, off Tuas. Source: Singapore Ministry of DefencePentagon budget 2020: DoD officials appear sanguine on growing national debt
OMB projects that in 2024 annual interest payments on the national debt will be about USD709 billion, which that year would surpass the projected discretionary national defence spending. Although in the past military leaders warned the debt would affect defence spending, this year officials said they are not planning for changes. Source: Republic of Korea Navy
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Top US general: Russian military capabilities would challenge US forces in Europe
If US forces deployed to Europe to defend NATO allies, the Russian military would pose significant challenges but it wouldn’t be a showstopper, according to Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman General Joe Dunford. During a 21 March appearance at the Atlantic Council, Gen Dunford fielded questions
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USCG enforces North Korea sanctions in the East China Sea
The US Coast Guard (USCG) National Security Cutter Bertholf (WMSL-750) has finished patrols in the East China Sea to help enforce United Nations Security Council Resolutions (UNSCR) intended to stop countries from avoiding North Korean sanctions through illegal ship-to-ship transfers. The UNSCRs
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Brazil joins US National Guard’s State Partnership Programme
The New York National Guard (NYNG) is teaming up with the Brazilian military under the umbrella of the US National Guard’s State Partnership Programme. As part of the partnership, which was signed on 14 March, a NYNG “bilateral relations office will be assigned to the US Embassy in
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Final tranche of EUR525 million for EU-funded pilot defence projects to be released soon
The European Commission announced on 19 March how it will spend the remaining balance of EUR525 million (almost USD600 million) from its three-year pilot European Defence Fund (EDF) for co-financing defence capability and research projects with the member states. Ranging from precision strike
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US Air Force boosting small business contracting to increase innovation
Key Points The US Air Force is emphasising more small business contracting The service wants more cutting-edge technologies to start in the USAF The US Air Force (USAF) is increasing its small business contracting to spur innovation and get cutting-edge technologies to the field faster. The
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Back in the saddle: manned spyplanes make a comeback
Manned aerial surveillance aircraft are making a comeback as East-West tensions rise, bucking the trend towards unmanned aerial vehicles. Tim Ripley reports -
France bolsters cyber capabilities and commitment through new doctrine
France unveiled its first offensive cyber doctrine in January 2019, joining other Western states that are avowing a readiness to strike in cyberspace. William Moray surveys the doctrine's likely effects and its differences from the Anglosphere approach -
Struggle for Syria’s future centres around Euphrates river
With the Islamic State defeated in Baghouz, attention will turn to the multiple competing forces ranged around the Euphrates river in Syria's Deir al-Zour governorate. Derek Henry Flood embeds with local forces in Deir al-Zour to assess the dynamics
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Ukraine’s presidential election very likely to see split vote leading to second round; conflicting policy announcements likely
On 31 March 2019, Ukraine will hold the first round of its presidential election, with 39 candidates running for the top office. With up to 15% of the 35.5 million voters effectively disenfranchised, the election is likely to favour candidates with strong nationalist platform and disadvantage
CBRN Assessment CBRN Assessment
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USSTRATCOM commander paints dour future for New START
With just over five months to go before Washington withdraws from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty, the top US general charged with nuclear weapons oversight painted a gloomy forecast for the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START) set to expire in 2021. Air Force General John
Terrorism & Insurgency Terrorism & Insurgency
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Latest CAR peace deal unlikely to hold due to militia rivalry, with likely popular opposition triggering protests
Key Points The collapse of seven previous peace agreements in CAR indicates that the latest deal will fail due to continued lack of homogeneity among militias refusing to cede territorial control and financial profit, and probable rivalry for official posts. Likely entry into government of
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UNSC visit to Mali, Burkina Faso likely to prompt political over military focus as terrorism risk spreads
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Co-ordinated small-arms attacks on New Zealand mosques by suspected anti-Muslim perpetrators highly likely to be exceptional
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Disrupted Indonesian plot indicates improving IED capability and continued jihadist reliance on family units to plan attacks
Jane's Intelligence Review Jane's Intelligence Review
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Ukraine’s presidential election very likely to see split vote leading to second round; conflicting policy announcements likely
On 31 March 2019, Ukraine will hold the first round of its presidential election, with 39 candidates running for the top office. With up to 15% of the 35.5 million voters effectively disenfranchised, the election is likely to favour candidates with strong nationalist platform and disadvantage
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Iraqi government will likely favour mediation with PKK over military escalation in Sinjar
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UNSC visit to Mali, Burkina Faso likely to prompt political over military focus as terrorism risk spreads
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Despite resignation, Nazarbayev likely to retain political influence over Kazakh leadership, including facilitation of dynastic power transfer
