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Strong election performance by former government coalition partner in Côte d’Ivoire likely to trigger violent unrest
Police patrol near the PDCI's headquarters as supporters celebrate the victory of party candidate Jacques Ehouo in municipal elections in Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire, on 15 October. Source: Sia Kambou/AFP/Getty ImagesMomentum builds to Block US arms sales to Saudi Arabia
US President Donald Trump hosts Crown Prince Mohammad Bin Salman of Saudi Arabia at the White House. Source: Kevin Dietsch-Pool/Getty ImagesTop US lawmaker calls for clarity on legal basis for collective defence
A US soldier assigned to 1st Armored Brigade Combat Team, 1st Cavalry Division, ground, guides a M2A3 Bradley Fighting Vehicle during a ‘Table XII’ live-fire exercise in Novo Selo Training Area, Bulgaria, on 23 August. The service is currently looking to develop and field new land vehicles under the Next-Generation Combat Vehicles effort. Source: US Army National GuardZambia denies USD400 million Israeli deal
The ZAF already operates sophisticated L-15 jets, so arguably does not need F-5s supplied by the Israeli company Elbit. Source: IHS Markit/Patrick Allen
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Seoul, Washington agree to suspend ‘Vigilant Ace’ aerial exercise
The governments of South Korea and the United States have agreed to suspend this year’s iteration of the annual ‘Vigilant Ace’ aerial exercise to facilitate the countries’ ongoing negotiations with North Korea over its denuclearisation. “Secretary of Defense James N
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AVIC readies Wing Loong I-D prototype for maiden flight
State-owned aerospace and defence prime Aviation Industry Corporation of China (AVIC) is on track to perform the maiden flight of its new strike-capable Wing Loong I-D reconnaissance medium-altitude long-endurance unmanned aerial vehicle (MALE UAV) by the end of 2018, following the handover of an
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Chinese, Southeast Asian navies kick off inaugural ASEAN-China Maritime Exercise
Key Points The first-ever exercise between navies of ASEAN and China have begun Drills are being conducted as a confidence-building measure amid ongoing territorial disputes in the South China Sea The People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) and naval services from the Association of Southeast
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Face facts: Sea Fire multifunction radar takes shape for FTI frigate
Key Points Thales is developing the Sea Fire multifunction radar for the French Navy’s FTI frigate A first fully populated AESA antenna face has begun tower testing at Limours Thales Land & Air Systems – France has commenced far field antenna testing of its new Sea Fire S-band
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Royal Canadian Air Force boosts pilot production rates without additional resources or aircraft
Key Points The RCAF boosted its pilot production rates to record levels without adding new aircraft or funding The service had instructors initially focus on basic parts of the syllabus and get better input from students on strengths and weaknesses The Royal Canadian Air Force (RCAF) used better
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Europe steps up EU policing strategy
In 2018, the European Union began to implement its third Policy Cycle on Serious and Organised Crime. Matthew Redhead examines the drive in Brussels towards greater policing co-ordination as criminals adopt new technologies and Brexit approaches -
Building NATO’s new eastern front: The eFP in Europe
In 2016 NATO leaders agreed to despatch multinational battlegroups to the Baltic states and Poland under the enhanced Forward Presence initiative. Since then NATO deployments to Eastern Europe have accelerated. Tim Ripley charts the progress of efforts to build up allied defences in the region -
Russia develops co-orbital anti-satellite capability
Russia appears to be developing a co-orbital anti-satellite system. Bart Hendrickx examines the evidence in open sources about Russia’s satellite development programmes that points to the existence of the project
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Country Risk Country Risk
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Strong election performance by former government coalition partner in Côte d’Ivoire likely to trigger violent unrest
Key Points The ruling Rally of Houphouëtists for Democracy and Peace controls the majority of regions and nearly half the departments after Côte d’Ivoire’s local elections, but the rival Democratic Party of Côte d’Ivoire has a considerable power base to build a
Military Capabilities Military Capabilities
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Momentum builds to Block US arms sales to Saudi Arabia
Congressional momentum is building within the United States for blocking defence exports to Saudi Arabia after the disappearance of the journalist Jamal Khashoggi, although questions linger over what equipment to ban Riyadh from buying. Speaking to reporters at a 17 October breakfast in Washington,
CBRN Assessment CBRN Assessment
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North Korea willing to ‘permanently dismantle’ Yongbyon nuclear site
North Korean leader Kim Jong-un has expressed his willingness to continue to take measures towards his country's denuclearisation, including the permanent dismantlement of the Yongbyon nuclear facilities, where a 5 MWe plutonium-producing reactor is located. The move was announced on 19
Terrorism & Insurgency Terrorism & Insurgency
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New Caledonia’s probable rejection of independence likely to trigger violent protests by indigenous youths, particularly affecting mining
Key Points Concerns among the majority of the public in New Caledonia regarding the territory’s economic dependence on France are highly likely to offset any desire for full sovereignty, resulting in a vote to remain part of France. There is a high risk of violence from disaffected
Jane's Intelligence Review Jane's Intelligence Review
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Strong election performance by former government coalition partner in Côte d’Ivoire likely to trigger violent unrest
Key Points The ruling Rally of Houphouëtists for Democracy and Peace controls the majority of regions and nearly half the departments after Côte d’Ivoire’s local elections, but the rival Democratic Party of Côte d’Ivoire has a considerable power base to build a
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Ethiopia advances economic and military reforms, unlikely to split ruling coalition before 2020 election
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Haitian president’s attempted shooting signals growing protests and organised violence risks against government targets in coming months
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Trilateral military talks positive, but bilateral talks between two Koreas highlight South Korean policy differences with US
