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India warns Pakistan of ‘strong response’ after attack on paramilitaries in Kashmir
Dozens of Indian paramilitary personnel were killed on 14 February as a result of a suicide car bombing in Indian-administered Kashmir. Source: STR/AFP/Getty ImagesArgentina creates air bridge to its southernmost base in Antarctica
Argentine Air Force Twin Otter serial number T-85, pictured behind a Sno-Cat at Argentina’s Belgrano II Base in Antarctica, where it arrived on 10 February 2019: the first time the base has been reached by air since November 1965. Source: Argentine Air ForceDismissal of Thai PM bid increases likelihood of project review in agriculture, real estate; large-scale unrest unlikely
Srisuwan Janya, the secretary-general of the Association for the Protection of the Constitution, submits a petition to the Election Commission to investigate the Thai Raksa Chart Party for nominating Princess Ubolratana Mahidol as its candidate for the premiership in Bangkok on 11 February 2019. Source: Lillian Suwanrumpha/AFP/Getty ImagesUS Air Force sees increased future emphasis on small launch
The USAF will likely place more emphasis on small launch companies such as Vector Space Systems due to their responsiveness, or their ability to launch satellites on short notice. Source: Vector
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Putin threatens to respond to US withdrawal from INF Treaty
Repeating allegations that the United States violated the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) treaty, Russian President Vladimir Putin has threatened “asymmetric actions” against countries that accept the deployment of any new US medium-range missiles or “contain
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Kazakh president dismisses government, potentially seeking to limit social protests, with subsequent policy changes likely
Event On 21 February, President Nursultan Nazarbayev issued a televised statement requesting the government, led by Prime Minister Bakhytzhan Sagintayev, to resign. Nazarbayev cited its failure to “create real stimuli and instruments for qualitative growth of economy” and inability to
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US Navy issues RFI for proposed large-surface combatants
The US Navy (USN) has issued a request for information (RFI) on 19 February for its next-generation large-surface combatant (LSC) class of warships. The USN’s LSC programme will be a new acquisition programme that uses the guided-missile destroyer DDG 51 Flight III combat system as a
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Officials split over possibilities for sharing cyber intelligence among EU, NATO nations
Europe’s defence ministries must step up their multilateral exchanges of cyber defence information, while NATO and the European Union (EU) should set the framework for exchanging cyber intelligence, some national and EU officials have urged. However, others argue that, due to trust issues,
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Russian Airborne Troops to form helicopter brigade
Russia’s Airborne Troops (VDV) will form a helicopter brigade by 2020 or 2021, Izvestia reported on 19 February. The newspaper quoted Ministry of Defence (MoD) sources as saying the decision to give the VDV control of some aviation assets has been “essentially adopted”. The new
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EU and NATO confront hybrid threats in centre of excellence
Facing a growing threat from hybrid activities and attacks on election processes, EU and NATO states have established a joint centre in Finland to improve their response. Dr Rubén Arcos visits Helsinki to assess the initiative’s work to date and its likely future priorities -
Region reacts to US withdrawal from Syria
US President Donald Trump's sudden decision to withdraw US troops from Syria has created consternation among allies and raises the risk of intensifying clashes between Israel and Iran. Jonathan Spyer, Nicholas Blanford, and Kathryn Haahr analyse the implications of the move for regional stability -
Satellite ground station expansion shows Pakistan’s reliance on China
Pakistan has upgraded its main ground station to support two new satellites. Nick Hansen examines the expansion of infrastructure at the site in the context of Pakistan's limited space programme
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India warns Pakistan of ‘strong response’ after attack on paramilitaries in Kashmir
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has vowed to send a “strong response” to Pakistan, which he holds responsible for a suicide car bombing that took place on 14 February in Indian-administered Kashmir killing 44 paramilitary personnel and badly injuring at least 24 others. “I
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Kazakh president dismisses government, potentially seeking to limit social protests, with subsequent policy changes likely
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US Navy issues RFI for proposed large-surface combatants
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Summit likely to improve US relations, but not substantially relax sanctions or degrade North Korean weapons capabilities
Military Capabilities Military Capabilities
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India warns Pakistan of ‘strong response’ after attack on paramilitaries in Kashmir
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has vowed to send a “strong response” to Pakistan, which he holds responsible for a suicide car bombing that took place on 14 February in Indian-administered Kashmir killing 44 paramilitary personnel and badly injuring at least 24 others. “I
CBRN Assessment CBRN Assessment
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US to start INF Treaty withdrawal process
President Donald Trump announced on 1 February that he is formally withdrawing the United States from the 1987 US-Soviet Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty. Trump said the US would “suspend its obligations” under the INF Treaty on 2 February by giving the required six
Terrorism & Insurgency Terrorism & Insurgency
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Latest CAR peace deal unlikely to hold due to militia rivalry, with likely popular opposition triggering protests
Key Points The collapse of seven previous peace agreements in CAR indicates that the latest deal will fail due to continued lack of homogeneity among militias refusing to cede territorial control and financial profit, and probable rivalry for official posts. Likely entry into government of
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Violent risks intelligence bulletin – 18 February 2019
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SVBIED indicates improving Kashmiri separatist capability and increased likelihood of India-Pakistan cross-border fire ahead of Indian elections
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VBIED attack underscores ongoing Kurdish threat to Turkish and Turkish-backed forces in northern Syria
Jane's Intelligence Review Jane's Intelligence Review
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Dismissal of Thai PM bid increases likelihood of project review in agriculture, real estate; large-scale unrest unlikely
Key Points Military presence has been expected to increase across Thailand, with protests being heavily monitored by security forces; risks of access denial or business area blockade remain low. The palace’s public dismissal of Princess Ubolratana Mahidol’s premiership bid is a
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Kazakh president dismisses government, potentially seeking to limit social protests, with subsequent policy changes likely
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Summit likely to improve US relations, but not substantially relax sanctions or degrade North Korean weapons capabilities
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Venezuelan military high commanders support Maduro but armed forces’ cohesion to be tested by humanitarian aid arrival
