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US Military examining army’s role in the Pacific, along island chains
First Armored Division tankers prepare to qualify at Rodriguez Live Fire Complex, South Korea, in March 2019. US military leaders are meeting to determine what role the US Army will have if the nation is involved in a violent conflict in the Pacific region. Source: US ArmySenegal military parade reveals new acquisitions
The new Bastion APCs during Senegal's independence day parade. Source: Présidence de la République du SénégalFracturing Bangladeshi opposition alliance will allow ruling party to consolidate authority, reducing government instability and protests risks
BNP leader Khaleda Zia (C), currently serving a prison sentence on corruption charges, is escorted to Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujib Medical University (BSMMU) for treatment in Dhaka on 1 April 2019. Source: STR/AFP/Getty ImagesLNA offensive to capture Tripoli unlikely to fully succeed but indicates breakdown of UN-sponsored Libyan peace process
Forces loyal to the internationally recognised Libyan Government of National Accord (GNA) drive through Tripoli's old airport on April 8, 2019. Source: Mahmud Turkia/AFP/Getty Images
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Brazil eyes first MANSUP missile acquisition
The Brazilian Navy is looking to purchase a pre-production batch of 10 MANSUP (Míssil Antinavio Nacional de Superfície) combat surface-to-surface anti-ship missiles, an industry source familiar with the programme recently told Jane’s . The navy wants to sign a contract in late 2019
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Industry, USN teams help accelerate Fitzgerald restoration and overhaul
The US Navy (USN) launched the guided-missile destroyer USS Fitzgerald (DDG 62) on 16 April and moored the ship pier-side at Huntington Ingalls Industries’ (HII’s) Ingalls Shipbuilding shipyard, hitting a major milestone in the ship’s complex repair and restoration. The relatively
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Likely increase in armed group raids in southwest Rwanda; security forces will protect infrastructure projects, tourism
Repeated reports of small-arms fighting in southwest Rwanda, near the border with Burundi’s Cibitoke province, and cross-border movements of armed elements during the first half of April indicate that the Rwandan anti-government armed group the FNL (variously the “Forces Nationales de
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New US Air Force S&T strategy focuses on prototyping and experimentation
Key Points The US Air Force rolled out a new science and technology strategy that focuses on 2030 and beyond The service wants to draw upon past successes such as X-planes, Century Series aircraft, and stealth The new US Air Force (USAF) science and technology (S&T) strategy for 2030 and
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North Korea announces test of ‘new tactical guided weapon’
North Korea’s state-run media announced on 18 April that the country recently conducted a test-firing of what it described as a “a new tactical guided weapon”: a move that comes amid stalled talks with the United States over Pyongyang’s nuclear weapons programme. The test,
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Follow the leader: US Army unmanned ground vehicle programmes
In the 2001 National Defense Authorization Act, Congress set an objective of increasing the number of remote-controlled and unmanned systems in service with the US Army. The goal was that by 2015 a third of operational ground combat vehicles would be unmanned. However, this goal was not met. Scott Alexander reports -
Russian internet controls risk domestic pushback
The Russian government is seeking to exert greater control over the internet within its borders. Lincoln Pigman examines how Russian technology companies and civil society are responding to this campaign and assesses the likelihood of a domestic pushback -
Extreme right activists build transnational narratives online
The threat posed by the extreme right has gained greater prominence in 2019. Mark Wilson surveys the online extreme-right landscape, examines the narratives being deployed among users from different countries, and assesses how these communities are likely to evolve
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Fracturing Bangladeshi opposition alliance will allow ruling party to consolidate authority, reducing government instability and protests risks
On 7 April, senior members of the opposition Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) launched a hunger protest to demand the release of BNP leader and former prime minister Khaleda Zia, who has been imprisoned since February 2018 following corruption convictions. The BNP has become increasingly
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Likely increase in armed group raids in southwest Rwanda; security forces will protect infrastructure projects, tourism
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New US Air Force S&T strategy focuses on prototyping and experimentation
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Opposition-led protests likely in Mali despite president’s appeasement attempts, as government faces no-confidence motion
Military Capabilities Military Capabilities
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US Military examining army’s role in the Pacific, along island chains
After nearly two decades of counter-insurgency operations in landlocked countries, US Army leaders are examining ways to support their naval counterpart in a conflict against China, and where they could base weapons along the Pacific island chains to give Washington a marked advantage. In recent
CBRN Assessment CBRN Assessment
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USSTRATCOM commander paints dour future for New START
With just over five months to go before Washington withdraws from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty, the top US general charged with nuclear weapons oversight painted a gloomy forecast for the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START) set to expire in 2021. Air Force General John
Terrorism & Insurgency Terrorism & Insurgency
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Latest CAR peace deal unlikely to hold due to militia rivalry, with likely popular opposition triggering protests
Key Points The collapse of seven previous peace agreements in CAR indicates that the latest deal will fail due to continued lack of homogeneity among militias refusing to cede territorial control and financial profit, and probable rivalry for official posts. Likely entry into government of
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Likely increase in armed group raids in southwest Rwanda; security forces will protect infrastructure projects, tourism
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Afghan peace talks to continue despite Taliban spring offensive announcement, Taliban to focus on Afghan government targets
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Rocket fire near Niger’s Diffa airport poses cargo disruption, shootdown, damage risks to airborne and parked aircraft
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Fracturing Bangladeshi opposition alliance will allow ruling party to consolidate authority, reducing government instability and protests risks
On 7 April, senior members of the opposition Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) launched a hunger protest to demand the release of BNP leader and former prime minister Khaleda Zia, who has been imprisoned since February 2018 following corruption convictions. The BNP has become increasingly
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Opposition-led protests likely in Mali despite president’s appeasement attempts, as government faces no-confidence motion
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Incumbent president increasingly likely to lose Ukraine’s second-round election, triggering policy gridlock and delaying key reforms
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New Palestinian Authority government reduces likelihood of reconciliation with Hamas, violent Gazan protests likely to continue
