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Egypt’s constitutional amendments likely to consolidate Sisi’s dominance, protect military’s interests, and formalise judiciary’s loss of independence
An Egyptian soldier and police officer stand guard in front of posters of President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi outside a polling station in Cairo on 22 April 2019. Source: Khaled Desouki/AFP/Getty ImagesLikely partial Indian and Chinese compliance with new US sanctions raises Iranian unrest and retaliation risks
A truck carrying an Iranian Valfajr torpedo drives in front of the officials' stand during a military parade marking the annual National Army Day in Tehran, on 18 April 2019. Source: AFP/Getty ImagesUnited Wa State Army military parade showcases ongoing modernisation
During a military parade held on 17 April the UWSA displayed what appeared to be twin-barrelled 14.5 mm ZU-2-based towed anti-aircraft guns. Source: Ye Aung Thu/AFP/Getty ImagesPresidential election results likely to intensify policy gridlock in Ukraine and delay key IMF-mandated reforms
Ukrainian presidential candidate Volodymyr Zelenskyi is seen following the announcement of an exit poll in a presidential election at his campaign headquarters in Kiev, Ukraine on 21 April 2019. Source: Vladimir Shtanko/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images #1138561828
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Poland signs for AW101 helicopters
Poland has signed for AgustaWestland AW101 helicopters to satisfy its anti-submarine warfare (ASW) and combat search-and-rescue (CSAR) requirements. Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki and Defence Minister Mariusz Blaszczak signed the contract for four helicopters at PZL-Świdnik’s
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US militia leader arrest underscores ongoing risks of isolated arson attacks and confrontations with security forces
The Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) arrested the leader of the right-wing militia the United Constitutional Patriots (UCP), Larry Hopkins, in New Mexico on 20 April on firearms charges. The UCP has recently been conducting high-profile border surveillance operations on the US-Mexico border,
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Argentine Army signs AB 206 contract
The Argentine government has signed a ARS103.8 million (USD2.5 million) contract with state-owned company FAdeA to put into service 10 of 20 Agusta (Bell) AB 206 helicopters purchased from the Italian government and received in January 2018. Five of the helicopters will be for the Argentine Army
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Journalist’s killing in Northern Ireland drives increase in republican anti-British attacks but reduction in routine operations
The New IRA, a dissident republican militant group in the UK region of Northern Ireland, issued a statement late on 22 April offering its "full and sincere apologies" for the death of journalist Lyra McKee. McKee was killed when a New IRA gunman opened fire on police officers during
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MEPs approve next step in European Defence Fund’s march to its final budget
Members of the European Parliament (MEPs) have shown their support for a proposed EUR13 billion (USD14.5 billion) budget for the European Defence Fund (EDF), voting 328 to 231 in its favour. While their so-called partial vote on 18 April has cleared a major hurdle for the fund’s activation in
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Red seas: China’s advancing amphibious force capabilities
China is equipping its marines with some of the most advanced amphibious platforms in the world. Samuel Cranny-Evans examines these systems, the force that uses them, and how the PLANMC compares to Western competitors -
Turkey’s S-400 procurement increases US sanction potential
Relations between Turkey and the US have been tested by Ankara's intended procurement of the S-400 air defence system. With Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's standing weakened by the results of municipal elections, Ege Seçkin considers the building pressures on the Turkish government -
Follow the leader: US Army unmanned ground vehicle programmes
In the 2001 National Defense Authorization Act, Congress set an objective of increasing the number of remote-controlled and unmanned systems in service with the US Army. The goal was that by 2015 a third of operational ground combat vehicles would be unmanned. However, this goal was not met. Scott Alexander reports
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Egypt’s constitutional amendments likely to consolidate Sisi’s dominance, protect military’s interests, and formalise judiciary’s loss of independence
The results of Egypt’s referendum on constitutional amendments were announced on 23 April, with the amendments officially passed with 88.83% of a 44.33 % turnout. President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi will now almost certainly continue to rule Egypt until 2030. Foremost among the amendments voted on
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Journalist’s killing in Northern Ireland drives increase in republican anti-British attacks but reduction in routine operations
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More civilian deaths now being caused by pro-government forces in Afghanistan than by militants, says UN
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Likely partial Indian and Chinese compliance with new US sanctions raises Iranian unrest and retaliation risks
Military Capabilities Military Capabilities
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United Wa State Army military parade showcases ongoing modernisation
Myanmar’s largest ethnic armed force, the United Wa State Army (UWSA), has underscored an ongoing process of modernisation, based largely on Chinese equipment, in a large parade to mark the 30th anniversary of its founding. Overseen by UWSA commander-in-chief Bao Youxiang, the march-past,
CBRN Assessment CBRN Assessment
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USSTRATCOM commander paints dour future for New START
With just over five months to go before Washington withdraws from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty, the top US general charged with nuclear weapons oversight painted a gloomy forecast for the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START) set to expire in 2021. Air Force General John
Terrorism & Insurgency Terrorism & Insurgency
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Sri Lanka bombings point to likely involvement of Islamic State and an established jihadist network, increasing threat
At least 310 people were killed and 500 wounded in co-ordinated suicide bombings against churches and hotels in Colombo, Negombo, and Batticaloa during Easter Sunday services on 21 April. In addition, an improvised explosive device (IED) was defused at Bandaranaike International Airport. Sri Lankan
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US militia leader arrest underscores ongoing risks of isolated arson attacks and confrontations with security forces
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Growing counter-terrorism measures in North Caucasus likely to further decrease terrorism risks in Russia
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Likely increase in armed group raids in southwest Rwanda; security forces will protect infrastructure projects, tourism
Jane's Intelligence Review Jane's Intelligence Review
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Egypt’s constitutional amendments likely to consolidate Sisi’s dominance, protect military’s interests, and formalise judiciary’s loss of independence
The results of Egypt’s referendum on constitutional amendments were announced on 23 April, with the amendments officially passed with 88.83% of a 44.33 % turnout. President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi will now almost certainly continue to rule Egypt until 2030. Foremost among the amendments voted on
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US militia leader arrest underscores ongoing risks of isolated arson attacks and confrontations with security forces
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Journalist’s killing in Northern Ireland drives increase in republican anti-British attacks but reduction in routine operations
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Growing counter-terrorism measures in North Caucasus likely to further decrease terrorism risks in Russia
