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Pakistani separatist groups likely to be increasingly active despite sustained decline in nationwide NSAG attacks since 2014
Pakistani security forces take measures outside the Chinese consulate after an armed attack in Pakistan's southern port city of Karachi in November 2018. Source: Sabir Mazhar/Anadolu Agency/Getty ImagesTrump’s Missile Defense Review holds status quo, but will study space-based interceptors
An artist's rendition of the Ground-based Midcourse Defense’s (GMD's) Exo-atmospheric Kill Vehicle that is designed to collide with and destroy nuclear warheads in outer space. Source: RaytheonSingapore vows restraint in maritime row with Malaysia
The Republic of Singapore Navy's first-of-class Littoral Mission Vessel, RSS Independence (right), keeping an eye on Malaysian Marine Department ship MV Pedoman, off Tuas Source: Singapore Ministry of DefenceGerman Navy chief sees challenging year ahead
German Navy Chief Vice Admiral Andreas Krause addressed the service's 59th Historical-Tactical Meeting in Dobbin-Linstow, close to Rostock, on 10 January. Source: Bundeswehr/Steve Back/PIZ Marine
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Dutch intelligence adapts to new leadership and legislation
Key Points The Dutch intelligence community has achieved several recent successes, and two new intelligence heads appointed in late 2018 are therefore unlikely to enact major changes. The new AIVD chief has a high public profile and will bring the service closer to the political establishment,
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Russian Airborne Troops could become airmobile expeditionary force
The Russian Ministry of Defence (MoD) is considering a reform of the Airborne Troops (VDV) that would change their mission from large-scale paradrops to expeditionary operations in global hotspots. Citing MoD sources, Russian newspaper Izvestia reported on 17 January that the VDV could become
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VBIED attack in UK region of Northern Ireland illustrates continued dissident republican intent but low capability
Event On 19 January, a vehicle-borne improvised explosive device (VBIED) detonated outside a courthouse in the city of Londonderry/Derry in the UK region of Northern Ireland. No casualties were reported, and police stated that the attack did not cause “widespread damage”. Although
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Constitutional Court ruling and international acceptance indicate new DRC president likely despite opposition candidate’s rejection of outcome
Event The Constitutional Court of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) announced early on 20 January that it was dismissing legal challenges to the provisional results of the 30 December presidential election, confirming opposition candidate Felix Tshisekedi as the winner. Regional leaders
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Polish and Lithuanian territorial armies agree to co-operate
The commander of the Polish territorial army (the Wojska Obrony Terytorialnej [WOT]), General Wieslaw Kukula, signed a co-operation agreement with Lithuanian territorial army (KASP) commander Colonel Dainius Pašvenskas on 18 January. Under the agreement, the two territorial armies
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Battle space: UK efforts to secure its celestial flank
With many of the vital civil and military systems becoming ever more reliant on satellite technology, the UK is reorganising and reinvesting in the space domain. Gareth Jennings explores the UK’s renewed focus on space as it attempts to safeguard its terrestrial interests -
US indictments offer window into Chinese intelligence operations
US criminal indictments are a valuable source on the activities of adversary intelligence agencies. Neil Ashdown examines how these indictments can support open-source analysis of Chinese intelligence operations -
Arrested development: India’s plans for second indigenous carrier hampered by setbacks
While the Indian Navy is determined to pursue its programme for a second indigenous carrier, the service still has still a long way to go to convince the government and MoD regarding its operational efficacy. Rahul Bedi reports
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Country Risk Country Risk
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Despite security improvements, residual elevated risk of collateral damage at Damascus Airport, mainly from Israeli airstrikes
Key Points Security at Damascus International Airport has improved, but IHS Markit assesses that there is a residual elevated risk of random collateral damage to aircraft on the ground from Israeli airstrikes and occasional indirect rocket or mortar fire by jihadist militants. In the event of
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Dutch intelligence adapts to new leadership and legislation
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Constitutional Court ruling and international acceptance indicate new DRC president likely despite opposition candidate’s rejection of outcome
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Indications that Guinean president plans third-term bid in 2020 increase risk of violent opposition protests nationwide
Military Capabilities Military Capabilities
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Trump’s Missile Defense Review holds status quo, but will study space-based interceptors
Key Points The Trump adminstration released its long-awaited Missile Defense Review The Pentagon will consider using the F-35 to aid or conduct intercepts The Trump administration on 17 January unveiled its long-delayed Missile Defense Review (MDR), which said the Pentagon will study space-based
CBRN Assessment CBRN Assessment
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Trump’s Missile Defense Review holds status quo, but will study space-based interceptors
Key Points The Trump adminstration released its long-awaited Missile Defense Review The Pentagon will consider using the F-35 to aid or conduct intercepts The Trump administration on 17 January unveiled its long-delayed Missile Defense Review (MDR), which said the Pentagon will study space-based
Terrorism & Insurgency Terrorism & Insurgency
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Pakistani separatist groups likely to be increasingly active despite sustained decline in nationwide NSAG attacks since 2014
Key Points Data gathered by Jane’s Terrorism and Insurgency Centre (JTIC) show that there were 264 attacks across the country last year, a year-on-year decrease of 28%. The data underlines that Islamist militant groups continue to struggle to reorganise following military operations against
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Dutch intelligence adapts to new leadership and legislation
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VBIED attack in UK region of Northern Ireland illustrates continued dissident republican intent but low capability
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Restored relations with Israel increase likelihood of jihadist suicide attacks in Chadian capital and targeting of peacekeepers
Jane's Intelligence Review Jane's Intelligence Review
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Pakistani separatist groups likely to be increasingly active despite sustained decline in nationwide NSAG attacks since 2014
Key Points Data gathered by Jane’s Terrorism and Insurgency Centre (JTIC) show that there were 264 attacks across the country last year, a year-on-year decrease of 28%. The data underlines that Islamist militant groups continue to struggle to reorganise following military operations against
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Dutch intelligence adapts to new leadership and legislation
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VBIED attack in UK region of Northern Ireland illustrates continued dissident republican intent but low capability
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Constitutional Court ruling and international acceptance indicate new DRC president likely despite opposition candidate’s rejection of outcome
