Country Risk

Indonesian general’s statements indicate intention to contest 2019 election, but incumbent president remains strongly positioned

24 October 2017

Key Points

  • General Gatot Nurmantyo’s recent public statements have indicated his intention to involve himself in politics following his retirement: he will probably attempt to contest the 2019 election as a presidential or vice-presidential candidate. Gatot will probably continue to cultivate the tacit opposition alliance between ex-military politicians and hard-line Islamists.
  • Despite the large political mobilisation against President Joko “Jokowi” Widodo by the military and Islamist opposition, Jokowi and his coalition remain in a strong political position for the presidential election in 2019 and the regional elections in 2018.
  • Nevertheless, the widening polarisation between the opposition and the government will probably lead to regular and large protests over cultural and religious issues.

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