Terrorism & Insurgency

  • Violent risks intelligence bulletin - 29 April 2016

    Americas Colombia - 28 April 2016: In Santander de Quilichao, Cauca, Afro-Colombian groups blocked the Pan-American Highway in a protest demanding consultation over highway expansion. Haiti - 28 April 2016: Outside the Parliament in Port-au-Prince, police officers fired rubber bullets to disperse

  • Al-Shabaab militants kill five soldiers in Somalia's Bay

    FIVE soldiers were killed and 12 others were wounded when Harakat al-Shabaab al-Mujahideen militants attacked a military base near the town of Baidoa in Somalia's Bay region on 26 April, Reuters reported. Six Al-Shabaab militants were killed in retaliatory fire. Al-Shabaab claimed responsibility for

  • AQIS claim responsibility for killing gay rights activist in Bangladesh's Dhaka

    IN A STATEMENT released on social media on 26 April, Al-Qaeda in the Indian Subcontinent (AQIS) claimed responsibility for the killing of gay rights activist Xulhaz Mannan and his friend Mahbub Rabbi Tonoy in Bangladesh's capital Dhaka on 25 April, Newsweek reported. The statement claimed that the

  • IED attack kills two people in Iraq's Baghdad

    TWO people were killed and eight others were wounded when an improvised explosive device (IED), emplaced by unidentified militants, detonated near a market in the Hamamiyat area of Taji district in Iraq's Baghdad province on 26 April, Iraqi News reported. No group immediately claimed responsibility

  • Local media reports possible Islamic State attack threat in Sweden's Stockholm

    LOCAL media reports on 26 April, citing unnamed security sources, stated that the intelligence services had received information about a possible attack by Islamic State militants in Sweden's capital Stockholm, the BBC and Reuters. The reports stated that the security police (SAPO) had received


  • Cognitive techniques support better forecasting

    Accurate forecasting is crucial for the intelligence analysis community to anticipate significant events. Nick Hare, Peter Coghill, and Alison Evans analyse the effectiveness of using cognitive techniques inspired by Bayes theorem to provide forecasts on North Korea's nuclear programme.
  • Building up: Kazakhstan industry briefing

    Kazakhstan's ongoing military modernisation and efforts to improve domestic industrial capabilities and independence continue to build on years of energy-funded development. However, the Central Asian republic faces significant headwinds owing to the recent decline in oil prices, writes Charles Forrester
  • EU combats dirty money with new directive

    The EU's 4th Anti-Money Laundering Directive came into effect in 2015. Andrew Bowen studies its provisions and the challenges member states will face in implementing them.
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