• Ethiopia will probably lift state of emergency, forced change of government unlikely despite growing securocrat-PM split

    Event The Ethiopian Council of Ministers on 2 June approved a draft law that would lift the state of emergency, which has been in place since 16 February and is due to expire in early August. Removing the state of the emergency early is another concession to the opposition and to demonstrators in

  • Denel tests BVR missile seeker

    The radar seeker on the beyond-visual-range (BVR) air-to-air missile that Denel Dynamics is developing has been tested on a range, the company revealed on 31 May in its Insights magazine. The article on the test said it was carried out at the South African company’s Overberg Test Range and

  • Indonesia’s PTDI signs export finance deal

    Indonesian aerospace firm PT Dirgantara (PTDI) has signed an agreement with the government’s Export Financing Agency to receive funding in support of international military sales. The agreement - announced 1 June - is worth IDR354 billion (USD25.5 million) and will be focused on supporting

  • IED attack kills a Hashd al-Shaabi militiaman in Iraq's Salah ad Din

    A HASHD al-Shaabi militiaman was killed and three others were wounded when an improvised explosive device (IED), emplaced on a roadside by unidentified militants, detonated as the patrol passed Tuz Khurmatu-Tikrit road in Tuz Khurmatu town in Hamrin region in Iraq's Salah ad Din province on 30 May,

  • SVBIED attack kills at least one police officer in Afghanistan's Kabul

    AT LEAST one police officer was killed and five others were wounded when 10 militants, dressed as United States soldiers, detonated a suicide vehicle-borne improvised explosive device (SVBIED) at the entrance of the headquarters of Ministry of the Interior, before they attacked the building armed

  • Violent risks intelligence bulletin – 1 June 2018

    Americas Colombia - 31 May 2018: In Ituango, Antioquia, suspected ELN rebels opened fire against a soldier participating in the evacuation of civilians threatened by a malfunction at the Ituango dam, killing him. Mexico - 30 May 2018: In San Cristóbal de las Casas, Chiapas, alleged members of

  • UK to lengthen Type 23 Gulf deployments from 2019

    Key Points The UK has announced plans to lengthen the duration of Type 23 frigate deployments to the Gulf region starting in 2019 The longer deployments will enable RN destroyers and other frigates to be committed to carrier task group operations The United Kingdom has announced plans to lengthen

  • GeoSpectrum Technologies to supply underwater sound systems for RoKN

    Elbit Systems’ wholly owned subsidiary in Canada, GeoSpectrum Technologies Inc (GTI), has been awarded a contract by STX Engine Co to deliver an undisclosed number of its Underwater Sound Source Systems (USSSs) and related software packages to the Republic of Korea Navy (RoKN). In a statement

  • Israel targets Hamas’ naval capabilities

    Israel Defence Forces (IDF) targeted “advanced naval capabilities” developed by Hamas in the Gaza Strip to carry out “maritime terror attacks”, the IDF announced on 30 May. The Palestinian militant group’s naval capabilities where targeted in a series of strikes that

  • Cameroon extends barrier along Nigerian border

    The Cameroonian Defence Forces are crediting the construction of a trench along the country’s border with Nigeria with significantly improving the security situation in the country’s Far North region. Work on the trench began in October 2016, when an experimental 20 km long section was

  • Australia confirms Spike LR2 selection

    Key Points Defence official confirms Land 400 rivals both selected Rafael’s Spike to meet ATGM requirement Rafael plans to build and support the Spike system through its joint venture with local company Varley Australia has confirmed its selection of Rafael Advanced Defense Systems’

  • Disputed Iraqi election results increase likelihood of widespread protests and inter-factional violence between Sadrists and Iran-aligned militias

    Event The Iraqi parliament voted on 28 May to cancel the results of election votes cast by (mainly Sunni) expatriates and internally displaced people from Anbar, Diyala, Ninewa, and Salaheddin. On 21 May, the Independent High Electoral Commission (IHEC) had rejected ballots from 103 stations from

  • Israel says Iran continues missile tests

    Iran carried out previously unreported ballistic missile tests in January that contravened UN Security Council Resolution 2231, according to Israeli ambassador to the UN Danny Danon. “Last January they launched a Shahab-3 and a ‘Scud’ variant: both capable of delivering nuclear

  • Israel’s Epsilor to supply battery chargers for Canada’s Integrated Soldier System

    Epsilor, an Israeli battery and charger manufacturer, has been chosen by the Canadian Armed Forces to supply a battery charging solution for Canada’s Integrated Soldier System (ISS) programme. The USD3 million contract will see Epsilor develop and deliver 400 multi-channel chargers, spares,

  • Al-Shabaab militants reportedly raid village in Kenya's Mandera

    MEDIA reports on 24 May, local officials reported that Harakat al-Shabaab al-Mujahideen militants raided a village and mosque in Kamor Ele in Kenya's Mandera County on an earlier unspecified date, Radio Dalsan reported. Reports did not contain details of any casualties.

  • Malian president’s re-election bid raises terrorist attack risks to government, foreign assets in capital in coming weeks

    Key Points Malian President Keïta’s official announcement that he is to stand in the election and confirmation of the poll date are likely triggers for more audacious jihadist attacks, including suicide vehicle-borne improvised explosive devices targeting military, government, UN, and

  • Suicide attack reportedly kills two civilians in Iraq's Diyala

    MEDIA reports on 24 May, citing local security officials, stated that two civilians had been killed when a suicide bomber detonated their explosives in Khanaqin district in Iraq's Diyala province on an earlier unspecified date, Shafaq News reported. Reports added that three militants had been killed

  • Double IED attack targets Iraqi Communist Party headquarters in Iraq's Baghdad

    TWO improvised explosive devices (IEDs), emplaced by unidentified militants, detonated simultaneously targeting the headquarters of the Iraqi Communist Party in Al-Karrada district in Iraq's Baghdad province on 25 May, Shafaq News reported. No casualties were reported but the attack damaged the

  • Turkey purchase of Russian S-400 air defence system draws US Air Force concern

    Key Points The USAF secretary is concerned that F-35 partner Turkey bought a Russian air defence system Russian personnel could physically inspect the aircraft when in close proximity US Air Force (USAF) Secretary Heather Wilson is concerned with Turkey’s purchase of the Russian S-400

  • Extensive Moroccan boycott of retail and energy companies indicates elevated risk of anti-government protests in three-month outlook

    Event On 26 May, leftist organisations and labour unions in Agadir, Casablanca, and Rabat held peaceful demonstrations to denounce high living costs, the deterioration of social conditions, and widespread corruption. This comes on the back of a boycott campaign launched on Facebook, WhatsApp, and