• Social media posts reveal submarine deployments

    Key Points Submariners may be identified on social media, despite generally demonstrating a higher level of operational security than most other military personnel, particularly if social network analysis is performed on their online activity. Submerged submarines cannot be tracked using open

  • Unidentified militants kill one soldier in Somalia's Mogadishu

    ONE soldier was shot and killed in an ambush by two unidentified militants armed with pistols in 1st March Neighbourhood in Waberi district in Somalia's capital Mogadishu on 1 December, Dhacdo reported. The militants escaped the scene of the attack before the arrival of security forces. No group

  • Violent risks intelligence bulletin – 7 December 2017

    AMERICAS Argentina - 06 December 2017: Transport workers’ unions said that they would consider strike action to oppose the tax, labour, and pension reforms planned by the government. Brazil - 06 December 2017: In Arará, Rio de Janeiro, nearly 3,000 police and troops were deployed in an

  • Turkey seeks to buy Harriers as an interim measure until F-35Bs are ready

    Turkey has been seeking to buy an unknown number of Harrier fighters as a stop-gap measure until the F-35B short take-off/vertical landing (STOVL) version of the Lightning II Joint Strike Fighter (JSF) is ready for Turkish service, Jane’s has learned from reliable Turkish and Western defence

  • Iranian Navy commissions fourth Sina FAC-M

    The Islamic Republic of Iran Navy (IRIN) commissioned its fourth domestically built Sina fast attack craft (FAC) on 5 December. The commissioning of Separ (P 234) took place at the IRIN’s Bandar-e Anzali base on the Caspian. The first three Sinas were commissioned by the Caspian fleet between

  • Israel declares F-35 to be operational

    The Israeli Air Force (IAF) has declared its fleet of Lockheed Martin F-35A Lightning II Joint Strike Fighter (JSF) aircraft to be operational, the service announced on 6 December. This milestone for the IAF’s F-35, which is designated F-35I Adir (‘Mighty One’) in national

  • Syria claims improved performance against Israeli strikes

    The Syrian military has claimed it shot down five Israeli missiles on 1 and 4 December. The state Syrian Arab News Agency (SANA) cited an informed source as saying that Israel launched 12 surface-to-surface missiles at a military site in Damascus province at 0030 h on 1 December; two were shot down

  • Violent risks intelligence bulletin – 6 December 2017

    Americas Colombia – 05 December 2017: ELN rebels and the government said they would discuss an extension of the ongoing ceasefire beyond the current deadline of January 2018. Colombia – 05 December 2017: Presidential candidate Alejandro Ordóñez said that he would terminate

  • IAI targets expansion in Mexico

    Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI) is establishing a new office in Mexico, the company announced on 5 December, which will help facilitate further in-country sales. An opening event for the new office was held by the company and the Israeli ambassador to Mexico, Jonathan Peled, with all interested

  • Elbit, Babcock announce ASDOT teaming

    Elbit Systems and Babcock International have announced that they have teamed to bid for the UK’s Air Support to Defence Operational Training (ASDOT) programme. The two companies announced on 5 December that they will form a Specific Company Programme, through which they will propose a

  • Ethiopia likely to mount raids on Eritrea-based Afar militants in retaliation for militant killing of European tourist

    Event On 3 December, a European tourist was killed during a raid on the Erta Ale volcano tourist site in Ethiopia’s Afar region by gunmen who had crossed the border from nearby Eritrea. Afar regional police guarding the site exchanged fire with the attackers, and military personnel were

  • IED attack kills one person in Iraq's Baghdad

    ONE person was killed and two others wounded when an improvised explosive device (IED) detonated targeting a vehicle carrying three al-Hashd al-Shaabi fighters in Iraq's capital Baghdad on 3 December, Iraqi News reported. No group immediately claimed responsibility for the attacks.

  • Postponement of Malian elections increases likelihood of 2018 presidential polls being deferred, triggering violent opposition protests

    Event On 26 November, Mali’s Council of Ministers ruled that local and regional elections scheduled for 17 December would be postponed until April 2018. The decision was made on the grounds of insecurity and a need for dialogue between political and armed groups. Local and regional elections

  • Reported detention of potential presidential candidate in Egypt indicates military support for current government and policy continuity for 2018

    Event Ahmed Shafiq, a former prime minister of Egypt and presidential candidate in 2012, announced on 29 November his intention to contest the 2018 presidential election. Shafiq made his statement from Abu Dhabi, where he has been living since 2012 after leaving Egypt over corruption allegations,

  • Special forces upgrade cyber-warfare capabilities

    Key Points Initiatives are being examined across the international special operations community to increase defensive and offensive toolsets for tactical cyber-warfare applications. Desired capabilities include pre-strike cyber ‘artillery barrages’, malware insertion to disable enemy

  • Suspected Wilayat Gharb Afriqiyya suicide attacks kill at least 17 people in Nigeria's Borno

    AT LEAST 17 people were killed and 47 others wounded in a double-suicide attack by suspected Wilayat Gharb Afriqiyya militants targeting a market in the town of Biu in Nigeria's Borno state on 2 December, Al Jazeera reported.

  • Violent risks intelligence bulletin – 5 December 2017

    Americas Argentina – 04 December 2017: Workers’ unions, social organisations, and left-wing parties planned a protest march on 6 December to oppose the government’s labour reforms. Brazil – 04 December 2017: In Blumenau, Santa Catarina, the authorities ordered police

  • Collapse of Houthi-Saleh alliance in Yemen gives Saudi coalition opportunity to defeat Houthis and an exit strategy

    Key Points The announcement came after five days of intense fighting in Yemen’s capital, Sanaa, between Houthi fighters and soldiers from the Republican Guard loyal to Saleh, in which at least 250 fatalities have been reported. The collapse of the alliance will create a common front against

  • Knife attack kills soldier in Israel's Southern District

    A 19-YEAR-OLD Israeli soldier was stabbed to death by two unidentified assailants at a bus station in the town of Arad in Israel's Southern District on 30 November, The Times of Israel reported. Reports added that police were investigating the attack as a terrorist attack. No immediate claim of

  • Senegal receives two more refurbed Mi-24s

    Poland’s WZL-1 military aviation company delivered on 30 November the last two of three Mil Mi-24 helicopters that it has repaired for Senegal. The two helicopters were loaded on an Antonov Airlines An-124-100 transport aircraft for shipment to Dakar, the company announced. The first Mi-24 was