- President Martelly has been ruling by decree since 13 January after parliament was dissolved, producing a power vacuum in the legislature and concentration of power in the executive.
- Criticism of the new government by the opposition signals the likely failure of solving the political impasse. Further violent protests in main cities are expected during 2015.
- Elections are unlikely before the second half of 2015. However, the risk of Martelly being ousted by force is low as there are no armed groups capable of staging a coup.
Anti-government street protests are likely to increase in the coming year, as overdue elections are unlikely to be organised before the second half of the year.