• Israel ceasefire with Hamas reduces likelihood of war, but a lasting peace settlement for Gaza is unlikely

    Key Points The latest ceasefire is likely to hold for at least several weeks unless a more extensive agreement can be agreed between Hamas and Israel. Acceptance by the Palestinian Authority (PA) is unlikely as President Mahmoud Abbas rejects any ceasefire that serves to treat Hamas as an

  • Satellite-controlled Anka-S UAV fires guided munitions

    Turkey has successfully test fired Smart Micro Munition (MAM-L) from an Anka-S unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) controlled by satellite, the Directorate for Turkish Defence Industries (SSB) announced on 17 August. MAM-L munition, produced by Roketsan, has a range of 8–14 km. Six Anka-S UAVs

  • Russian increases naval presence in Med

    Russia significantly increased its naval presence in the Mediterranean in mid-August with the arrival of a cruiser and destroyer from the Northern Fleet and another missile corvette from the Black Sea Fleet. The Russian Ministry of Defence (MoD) announced on 15 August that the Slava (Project

  • Turkey begins ground tests of T625 multipurpose helicopter

    Turkey has begun ground tests on a prototype of the indigenously-produced T625 multipurpose helicopter, the production of which has been completed by Turkish Aerospace Industries (TAI), the Directorate of Turkish Defence Industries (SSB) and TAI tweeted on 19 August. This will be followed by flight

  • Central African military receives new equipment

    The Central African Armed Forces (FACA) has received over 120 assorted vehicles donated by the United States and China. President Faustin-Archange Touadéra received more than 70 vehicles with a value of over USD15 million from the Chinese company Poly Technologies on 8 August. The vehicles

  • Iran likely to turn to Russia, Turkey, and China to offset sanctions, not risk war over Hormuz

    Key Points Iran is trying to consolidate politically and appease protesters to prevent sanctions from destabilising the country; this risks backfiring and reducing leadership cohesion. Iran will turn to China, Russia, and Turkey to reduce the impact of sanctions, but all three countries are

  • UAE hits back at AQAP payoff report

    The United Arab Emirates (UAE) Armed Forces held a rare press conference on 13 August to refute an Associated Press (AP) report that the successful campaign it said it had carried against the Yemeni branch of Al-Qaeda involved payments and little fighting. The AP reported on 6 August that

  • Elbit reports rise in Q2 revenue

    Israeli defence manufacturer Elbit Systems generated almost USD74 million more in revenue in the second quarter of 2018 than in the same period of 2017, according to financial results published on 16 August. The company’s net income also rose notably, with its performance in the second

  • Probe into war crimes accusations unlikely to lead to purges in Cameroonian army or end military offensives

    Event Cameroon’s minister of communication on 16 August announced that President Paul Biya had ordered an investigation into alleged war crimes by some soldiers after two videos were released on social media that appeared to show Cameroonian troops shooting dead unarmed civilians in the

  • Al-Shabaab militants kidnap girl in Somalia's Gedo

    A SIX-year-old girl with albinism was kidnapped by Harakat al-Shabaab al-Mujahideen militants from her family residence in the town of Harbole in Somalia's Gedo region on 3 August, Somaliweyn reported. Reports added that approximately militants raided the residence at night and absconded with the

  • IED attack kills two Security Belt Forces officers in Yemen's Aden

    TWO Security Belt Forces officers were killed when an improvised explosive device (IED), emplaced by unidentified militants, detonated as they handled the device in Mansoura district in the city of Aden in Yemen's Aden governorate on 3 August, Al-Masdar reported. No group immediately claimed

  • Ambush targeting police-escorted vehicles indicates growing terrorism risk to mining companies in eastern Burkina Faso

    Event Six people were killed in Burkina Faso’s Est province when a police-escorted convoy returning from the Boungou gold mine was ambushed on 11 August. Four gendarmes and a civilian died in the attack; the lead vehicle exploded after driving over an improvised explosive device (IED)

  • IED attack kills at least two people in Iraq's Baghdad

    AT LEAST two people were killed and six others wounded when an improvised explosive device (IED), emplaced by unidentified militants, detonated in the predominantly Shia Muslim Sadr City district of Iraq's capital Baghdad on 14 August, Reuters reported. No group immediately claimed responsibility

  • Sudanese president's nomination for 2020 poll confirms prospects of extended term, reducing likelihood of contested succession

    Key Points The National Congress Party (NCP)’s nomination of President Omar al-Bashir to stand for re-election in 2020 is most likely designed to entrench his legitimacy and lend early support to his bid for re-election. Should Bashir stand for re-election, as appears likely given his

  • Barak-8 to equip Israeli Sa’ar 6 corvettes

    Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI) has been awarded a contract by the Israeli Ministry of Defence (MoD) to supply the Barak-8 weapon system for the Israeli Navy’s four future Magen-class corvettes. Designated Sa’ar 6 in Israeli service, the new corvettes are being acquired under the

  • Saudi-led coalition to investigate bus bombing

    The United States and United Kingdom support the investigation into an apparent airstrike that hit a bus carrying school children in Yemen that will be carried out by the Saudi-led coalition, not an independent body. The strike took place on 9 August and hit the bus when it was in a crowded market

  • Turkey ‘would exercise legal rights’ if US does not deliver F-35s

    Turkish presidential spokesperson Ibrahim Kalin said on 15 August that Turkey would exercise its legal rights if the United States does not deliver Lockheed Martin F-35 Joint Strike Fighters to Ankara. He made the remarks in reaction to US President Donald Trump’s signing on 13 August of

  • Iraq confirms election results, disagreements over unity cabinet and ongoing southern protests risk intra-Shia fighting

    Key Points The near-identical election result is likely to be ratified by Iraq’s Supreme Court within 15 days of the electoral commission’s announcement, allowing parliament to convene for the first time and government formation talks to officially begin. The alliance between the Nasr,

  • Infighting likely to undermine nascent inter-militia alliance in CAR

    Event The three main ex-Séléka militia factions in Central African Republic (CAR) have pledged to put aside their differences and work together for peace, according to a statement reported on 11 August. The Popular Front for the Renewal of CAR (Front populaire pour la renaissance de la

  • Turkey, Indonesia support UAV collaboration

    Turkish Aircraft Industries (TAI) has expanded its engagement with Indonesian aerospace and defence companies in a bid to support collaboration on programmes including a medium-altitude long-endurance (MALE) unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) project. TAI said in a statement that it held a workshop in