Analysis of Ukraine Conflict. 29 April

Janes analyst Tom Bullock delivers analysis on the events in Ukraine.

Podcast - Ukraine Conflict: A Review of the First Week

Ukraine Conflict Podcast

Huw Williams of our EMEA news team chairs a discussion focused on the Russian invasion of the Ukraine asking why were the Russian actions so different to expectations, what were they trying to achieve and what went wrong?

Intel Briefings

Click on the image for Ukraine conflict - Refugee and IDP crisis (SITREP)

Analysis of Ukraine Conflict. 1 April

Janes analyst Tom Bullock delivers analysis on the events in Ukraine.

Analysis of Ukraine Conflict. 2 March

Janes analyst Tom Bullock delivers analysis on the events in Ukraine.

Analysis of Ukraine Conflict. 8 April

Janes analyst Tom Bullock delivers analysis on the events in Ukraine.

Analysis of Ukraine Conflict. 11 March

Janes analyst Tom Bullock delivers analysis on the events in Ukraine.

Analysis of Ukraine Conflict. 8 March

Janes analyst Tom Bullock delivers analysis on the events in Ukraine.

Russian forces' positions in Ukraine as of 09:00 18 May

Russian forces' positions in Ukraine as of 09:00 4 May

Russian forces' positions in Ukraine as of 09:00 20 April

Russian forces' positions in Ukraine as of 09:00 6 April

Russian forces' positions in Ukraine as of 09:00 29 March

Russian forces' positions in Ukraine as of 09:00 15 March

Russian forces' positions in Ukraine as of 09:00 8 March

Russian forces' positions in Ukraine as of 09:00 1 March

Map: Russian air and missile strikes against Ukraine, 24 February

Russian forces' positions in Ukraine as of 09:00 10 May

Russian forces' positions in Ukraine as of 09:00 26 April

Russian forces' positions in Ukraine as of 09:00 12 April

Russian forces' positions in Ukraine as of 09:00 1 April

Russian forces' positions in Ukraine as of 09:00 17 March

Russian forces' positions in Ukraine as of 09:00 11 March

Russian forces' positions in Ukraine as of 09:00 3 March

Russian forces' positions in Ukraine as of 15:00 25 February

Ukraine Conflict: Equipment Handbook

This PDF gathers Janes reference data for indigenously developed equipment involved in the Ukraine conflict in a single document. There is a significant overlap in equipment types in common service with Russian and Ukrainian forces, so this document collates the information by domain - Air, Land, C4ISR and Weapons - in line with the Janes reference portfolio. The information in this document is a fraction of the content available to Janes subscribers, who can access the full specifications and data via links embedded in the document. It is intended to be a quick reference document, indicative of the type of content covered by Janes and is not intended to be a comprehensive list of equipment in service with either force.

Intelligence podcast: Russia/Ukraine - Coming of Age for OSINT?

25th February 2022

In the latest episode of The World of Intelligence podcast, we speak to Thomas Bullock, Senior Russia and CIS OSINT Analyst at Janes and Christian Haimet, Country Intelligence Analyst at Janes, about the real-world utility of OSINT.

Video Demonstration: Using Janes Intara to build a common intelligence picture: Russian build up on the Ukrainian border

24th February 2022

Janes delivers persistent monitoring of Russian troop and equipment sightings, leverages Janes assured equipment and military unit data to offer an in-depth view of military activity. The ability to integrate your own and third-party data with Janes assured open-source intelligence using Janes Intara ensures that analysts can utilize all relevant and available OSINT or classified sources, with each source enriching the others. This ability to form a uniquely comprehensive foundational intelligence picture results in faster and more insightful analysis for decision makers and operators.

The Ukraine Crisis - A Failure of Deterrence or Just the Kick the West Needed?

24th February 2022

As increasingly belligerent rhetoric by NATO and EU leaders declares that their nations have never been more united over the Ukraine crisis, and that Russia will pay dearly for its actions in the form of unprecedented economic sanctions, Putin's forces continue unabated to deploy into separatist controlled areas of Ukraine. Just under the surface, western allies are struggling to maintain the visage of unity. The UK Prime Minister, under pressure in the House of Commons for the limited nature of the economic response, let slip that he was prioritising 'unity with our allies' over sanctions. The declaration by the German Chancellor, Olaf Scholz, that the certification of the Nord Stream 2 project would not now go ahead, while clearly very welcome, came as somewhat of a surprise, further underscoring differences in national responses to Russian aggression.

Russia announces drawdown but continues to move forces close to Ukrainian border

16th February 2022

The withdrawal of some units identified by the Russian MoD, such as the 3rd and 150th Motorised Divisions, also matter very little. Both of these units are permanently stationed well within 250 km of the Ukrainian border and could easily move back to forward positions at short notice.

Moreover, there are no indicators that a large-scale drawdown has begun. Russian actions, specifically the movement of Western Military District assets in Belgorod, Central Military District forces in Bryansk, and Eastern Military District forces in southeastern Belarus, are inconsistent with a drawdown, with all forces appearing to be moving closer to the Ukrainian border. Some recent footage posted to social media also indicates Russia is still moving forces west towards the border from deeper inside Russia.

Russia continues military build-up on Ukrainian border

3rd February 2022

Russia's military build-up in Belarus and along the Ukrainian border has continued unabated over the past 14 days. Social media indicates the frequency of deployments has increased, with daily sightings of equipment on the move at their highest since the build-up began in October 2021.

Eastern Military District (EMD) ground forces have begun deploying to several sites in Belarus, mainly along the country's southern border with Ukraine. S-400-air defence systems have also begun to arrive, and the Janes assessment is that one of the battalions – likely belonging to the 1529th Air Defence Regiment stationed in Khabarovsk – has been unloaded at Luninets railway station, about 50 km from the Ukrainian border.

Russian build-up on Ukrainian border enters new stage

25th January 2022

Following a relative lull in activity after 1 January, Russia's armed forces appear to have entered their highest level of activity and movement since the autumn-winter build-up began in late October.

Evidence indicates activity from all of Russia's major regional commands, and Moscow has also signalled that it will move a large number of surface vessels, including six landing ship tanks (LSTs), a cruiser, and a destroyer, into the Mediterranean Sea, where they could easily continue into the Black Sea.

Russia builds up forces on Ukrainian border

9th December 2021

Russia's military appears to be transporting more difficult-to-move equipment such as tanks and artillery to forward positions and is establishing the capability to deploy troops and logistics elements into position quickly if needed.

This enables the deployments to keep a relatively small footprint. They are also less taxing on the troops, who do have to remain in camps over the winter, and it leaves Russia with the capability to react quickly and covertly if it so chooses.

Russia moves equipment to Crimea, continues to activate other units

18th November 2021

Russia has deployed elements of at least three units to Crimea since 12 November. They are equipped with armoured personnel carriers (APCs), self-propelled howitzers (SPHs), anti-aircraft missile systems, and main battle tanks (MBTs).

Analysing footage posted on social media of military equipment being moved by train, Janes has identified the deployment of at least a battalion tactical group of the 49th Combined Arms Army's 34th Motorised Brigade (Mountain) equipped with MT-LB APCs and 2S1 Gvozdika SPHs and, what are likely to be.

Russian 1st Guards Tank Army equipment spotted in Voronezh

11th November 2021

Russia has deployed at least 60 tanks, supported by infantry fighting vehicles (IFVs), and self-propelled howitzers (SPHs) from the Moscow area to Maslovka railway station south of the city of Voronezh and less than 250 km from the Ukrainian border.

During Russia's spring 2021 build-up on the Ukrainian border, Maslovka railway station was one of the main stations used by Central Military District (CMD) forces deploying from Siberia to the Voronezh region.

Central Military District pulls more equipment from vehicle stores on Ukrainian border

28th October 2021

The Russian Central Military District's (CMD's) 41st Combined Arms Army has begun withdrawing equipment from the Pogonovo training ground south of Voronezh city and loading it on to trains at Maslovka railway station.

Video and imagery sourced from social media and analysed by Janes has revealed the loading of large quantities of equipment at Maslovka railway station, including 2S19 self-propelled guns, T-72BM and T-72B1 main battle tanks, and BMP-1 infantry fighting vehicles. Janes has also been able to confirm that equipment belonging to the 41st Combined Arms Army's 35th Motorised Brigade has been loaded on to trains at Maslovka.

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Ukraine Conflict The latest open-source intelligence on the Russian build up on the Ukrainian border from Janes