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Terrorism & Insurgency

Co-ordinated insurgent offensive in northeastern Myanmar threatens trade with China, potentially increasing its role in peace talks

02 September 2019
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Insurgents in north-eastern Myanmar launched their broadest offensive to date against government forces on 15 August, opening a second front in a conflict that has already been underway in western Rakhine State across early-to-mid 2019. The mid-August campaign has effectively halted progress on the China-Myanmar Economic Corridor (CMEC), a vital leg of China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) aimed to link southwestern China to the Indian Ocean.

The attacks across northern townships of Shan State by the Northern Alliance-Burma (NAB) provide evidence that future attacks hold potential to be well-planned and co-ordinated. The NAB force involved in these attacks mobilised troops from three of its four factions spread across the northern region, therefore showing strong potential for co-ordination.

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