- After the Syrian government ended the temporary exemption from military conscription in Deraa, arrests of those avoiding it are likely to contribute to an increase in insurgent attacks against security forces.
- Protests and low-level attacks against security forces have increased throughout June and July despite government releases of prisoners to mitigate tensions.
- Likely increases in arrests following the lifting of the conscription exemption will likely increase support for anti-government militants and a broader rejection of the reconciliation agreement with the government.
On 24 June, the Syrian government ended the temporary exemption from military conscription that had been in place in the southern governorate of Deraa.
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