Country Risk

RISK NOTE: Security service-led transitional government likely to be contested by protesters despite Sudanese president’s removal

11 April 2019

Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir has reportedly stepped down on 11 April. This follows the fifth consecutive day of a sit-in demonstration involving thousands of protesters outside the army headquarters in the capital, Khartoum, which aimed to solicit the support of the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) in bringing about Bashir’s removal. At the time of writing, negotiations are reportedly under way at military headquarters between the security services’ and armed forces’ leaderships to establish a Transitional High Council of Armed Forces to govern Sudan.

  • Protesters will be most strongly opposed to any transitional arrangement led by the National Intelligence and Security Services (NISS) or the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), and instead will be more accepting of an SAF-led transitional government, given the armed forces’ protection of protesters against NISS and RSF forces over the past week.

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