Country Risk

Intensified India-Pakistan confrontation in Kashmir remains very likely despite release of Indian pilot

05 March 2019


On 5 March, the Pakistan Navy released a video that purportedly showed an Indian submarine on the surface near Pakistani territorial waters in the Arabian Sea one day earlier.

Separately, on 4 March unconfirmed Indian media reports claimed that an Indian Air Force (IAF) Sukhoi-30 fighter jet had shot down a Pakistani surveillance unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) in Indian airspace over India’s Rajasthan state.

These incidents, neither of which has been confirmed by the other party involved, follow retaliatory incidents between India and Pakistan since a major militant attack against Indian security forces in Indian-administered Kashmir took place on 14 February.

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