Australia could only achieve its intended fleet of 12 next-generation submarines before about 2054 by compressing the proposed two-year delivery drumbeat, according to a report by the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI) think tank released on 9 October.
Examining issues involved in the eventual transition from Australia’s six in-service Collins-class submarines to the Future Submarine fleet, the report noted that extending the life of at least three Collins boats and operating them until around 2042 would prevent a capability gap. However, it would not provide a greater number of submarines until about 2044.
Extending all six Collins submarines would provide more boats from 2032 and help develop a much larger number of submariners, but the last Collins would then be in service until around 2048 and it would be 45 years old.
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