Country Risk

Iraq’s election results indicate fractured parliament, likely long government-formation period, and ensuing paralysis due to broad coalition

15 May 2018


Iraq’s parliamentary election was held on 12 May 2018. For the first time since 2003, no party gained 90 seats, as in previous years, which would give them a strong hand in alliance-making discussions.

Three coalitions garnered the highest votes, in descending order: the Shia cleric Muqtada al-Sadr’s Sairoun won 54 seats; former Shia militia leader Hadi al-Ameri’s Fatah al-Mubin gained 47 seats; and incumbent Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi’s Nasr al-Iraq took 42 seats. These faction leaders will now begin discussions to quickly establish the largest group in parliament, needing at least 165 seats, which will then be issued the mandate to form a government and appoint a prime minister.

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