Country Risk

Sudan’s new intelligence chief likely to limit opposition against president’s probable 2020 re-election and improve regional relations

14 February 2018

Key Points

  • Gosh is well positioned to limit opposition from Islamists within the ruling National Congress Party (NCP) and military against a probable constitutional referendum, which would facilitate Bashir seeking re-election in 2020 after 30 years in office.
  • Sudan will probably now use diplomacy to resolve disputes with Egypt over the construction of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), while reversing security co-operation with the country’s regional rivals, Turkey and Qatar.
  • Relations with the country’s major creditors, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, are likely to improve, ensuring the military’s loyalty despite diminishing economic rents.


Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir on 12 February appointed Major-General Salah Abdallah Gosh as director of the National Intelligence and Security Service (NISS), replacing Mohammed Atta el-Maula.

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