Country Risk

Fidesz’s constitutional majority likely to lead to increased interference in Hungary’s independent institutions, civil organisations

25 January 2018

Key Points

  • Fidesz is benefiting from anti-immigrant sentiment among its core supporters, a growing economy, a strong grip on media, and a ‘winner-take-all’ electoral system.
  • The opposition remains fragmented, and lacks leadership and resources to make inroads among undecided voters and mount a successful effort against Fidesz.
  • If Fidesz wins a two-thirds constitutional majority, greater interference with and control of independent institutions such as the courts and civil organisations is likely.


The governing right-wing Fidesz party – led by Prime Minister Viktor Orbán – is the overwhelming favourite to win the 8 April parliamentary election, paving the way for its third consecutive term in power.

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