Country Risk

Pro-democracy riots increasingly likely in Hong Kong’s Kowloon, New Territories in December until February, commercial disruptions unlikely

05 December 2017

Key Points

  • Pro-democracy protests by up to 4,000 marchers are probable around Christmas and Lunar New Year holidays (late December, mid-February), but these will probably remain peaceful and be controlled by a competent and well-prepared police force that restricts traffic disruption to minor inconvenience along marching routes.
  • Mong Kok and Tsim Sha Shui retail districts in Kowloon, where riots broke out in 2016, and Sheung Shui and Tuen Mun in New Territories are most likely to see protests turn violent – but still tightly controlled by the police. Central and Wan Chai business districts on Hong Kong Island will enjoy strong security deployment that minimises threats to offices.

(108 of 897 words)