CBRN Assessment

Hamas's tactics highlight severe cost of war with Hizbullah and raise risk of third intifada against Israel

23 July 2014

Key Points

  • Hamas has brought about a suspension of some flights at Ben Gurion Airport in Tel Aviv, and inflicted significant casualties against Israel.
  • Hamas has forced Fatah to back it, and internal dynamics within Fatah raise the risk of the movement splitting and factions within it calling for mass protests.
  • Hamas's rockets are unlikely to be able to repeatedly penetrate through the Iron Dome missile defence system. However, Ben Gurion Airport, Ashdod, Askhalon and other locations in southern and central Israel are at severe risk of a 'lucky' hit with a warhead carrying up to tens of kilograms of explosives.

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