HEADLINES ARCHIVE

  • Police raids in Brazil's Rio slums highlight shootdown risk for police helicopters and collateral damage more widely

    EVENT On 19 November 2016, a police raid in the favela (slum) complex of Cidade de Deus targeted at drug trafficking gangs resulted in the possible shootdown of a police helicopter, killing the four police officers on board. The Rio authorities said it was too early to establish whether the

  • Union and professional criticism of Tunisia's 2017 budget underscores very high labour unrest risks in year ahead

    Key Points Tunisia's powerful unions and professions are protesting against a freeze in public-sector wages and recruitment, and increased taxation and fiscal regulation. The government will find itself in an increasingly precarious position between organised labour and the IMF, which has urged

  • Rights groups' genocide warning amid increasing Burundian government impunity raises risk of Rwanda-backed intervention

    EVENT A report by the International Federation for Human Rights (FIDH) and the Burundian Human Rights League (ITEKA) warns that the "criteria and conditions" for genocide are in place in Burundi. The report, published on 15 November, says the Burundian government has been distancing

  • Islamic State caliphate shrinks a further 12 per cent in 2016

    Over the past 18 months, the Islamic State has continued to loose territory at an increasing rate. In 2015, the Islamic State’s caliphate shrunk by 12,800 km2 to 78,000 km2, a net loss of 14 percent. In the first six months of 2016, that territory shrunk again by 12 percent. As of 4 July 2016,

  • North Korean nuclear programme advances

    North Korea's nuclear weapons programme, based on the simultaneous development of a weaponisable nuclear device and ballistic missile delivery systems, appears to have advanced incrementally in early 2016. Following Pyongyang's claimed - although widely disputed - test of a 'H-bomb' (thermonuclear)

  • Islamic State loses 22 per cent of territory

    The tide of the war is turning against the Islamic State. Between 1 Jan and 15 December 2015, the Islamic State lost control of 14 per cent of its territory. New analysis indicates that in the last 3 months, the Islamic State has lost a further 8 per cent of its territory. In 2016, we have seen

  • Syrian government territory grows by 1.3% with Russian military support

    Syrian government territory grew by 1.3% with Russian military support between 29 September 2015 and 11 January 2016, according to the latest IHS Conflict Monitor estimate. Significance: Russia’s immediate objective in Syria, namely to shore up the Assad government’s position and save

  • Use of chemical weapons continues in Syria

    The Executive Council of the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) on 23 November 2015 expressed "grave concern" that chemical weapons (CW) had once again been used in Syria after its fact-finding mission (FFM) confirmed "with the utmost confidence" that sulphur mustard had

  • Syrian government territorial gains just 0.4% since Russian military intervention

    Syrian government forces have made modest territorial gains of 0.4% since the beginning of Russian airstrikes, with territory controlled by the government growing by about 120km2 The Syrian Army, backed by Russian airstrikes and various Shia militias under IRGC command, made net gains of around

  • JTIC Global Attack Index - September 2015

    Key Points JTIC recorded 1,516 worldwide attacks by non-state armed groups in September 2015, a 7.5% decrease in the average daily total compared with August. In Yemen, the decreasing militant operational tempo across the month was principally indicative of the extent to which Ansar Allah had been

  • Russia to defend core Syrian government areas

    US officials first alluded publicly to the deployment of additional Russian forces into Syria on 4 September, claiming that new housing under construction at Latakia airport, also known as Bassel al-Assad International Airport, could billet up to 1,000 military personnel. By 16 September, Washington

  • Syrian government no longer controls 83% of the country

    Territory fully controlled by President Assad’s forces has shrunk by 18% between 1 January and 10 August 2015 to 29,797 km2, roughly a sixth of the country, according to the latest data insights produced by IHS Conflict Monitor. In a recently televised speech, President Assad admitted it was

  • Islamic State territory shrinks by 9.4% in first six months of 2015

    The Islamic State’s recent successes in Palmyra and Ramadi came at the expense of significant territorial losses elsewhere, leading to an overall reduction in the territory controlled by the Islamic State of 9.4% in the first six months of 2015. The group’s ‘Caliphate’ now

  • Nuclear deal likely to temporarily increase Iranian political stability, cause escalation of Iraqi and Syrian proxy war

    Iranian diplomats have told media that a draft nuclear agreement has been reached with the P5+1 countries in Vienna on 14 July. The agreement will gradually allow investment in Iran's economy, Saudi Arabia and Turkey will likely attempt to maximise their gains in Iraq and Syria in the short term,

  • Growing device connectivity affects security

    IHS Aerospace, Defence and Security is pleased to announce the re-launch of IHS Jane’s Intelligence Review (JIR) following consultations with our customers about their evolving requirements. JIR is published continuously online, with content appearing as soon as it has been edited. It is also

  • Intelligence fusion concept gains adherents

    IHS Aerospace, Defence and Security is pleased to announce the re-launch of IHS Jane’s Intelligence Review (JIR) following consultations with our customers about their evolving requirements. JIR is published continuously online, with content appearing as soon as it has been edited. It is also

  • Mapping shows terrorism risk increase in Cairo

    IHS Aerospace, Defence and Security is pleased to announce the re-launch of IHS Jane’s Intelligence Review (JIR) following consultations with our customers about their evolving requirements. JIR is published continuously online, with content appearing as soon as it has been edited. It is also

  • US-Mexican border security remains key issue

    IHS Aerospace, Defence and Security is pleased to announce the re-launch of IHS Jane’s Intelligence Review (JIR) following consultations with our customers about their evolving requirements. JIR is published continuously online, with content appearing as soon as it has been edited. It is also

  • Syrian military and ISIS have been ‘ignoring’ each other on the battlefield

    The Syrian military and the Islamic State have been ‘ignoring’ each other on the battlefield, according to information from IHS Jane’s Terrorism and Insurgency Centre (IHS JTIC) database. The figures suggest that the Islamic State and Assad’s security forces have embraced

  • Beheading of journalist highlights IS intent to goad US into broader conflict

    EVENT The Islamic State (IS) issued a video on 2 September showing the beheading of US freelance journalist Steven Sotloff, apparently by the same IS operative who had beheaded James Foley two weeks ago. The IS said that the killing was in response to US raids against Amerli, Zummar, and the Mosul

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