- The youth vote and broader desire for change is likely to strengthen Weah’s prospects, although greater policy continuity would be likely under Boakai.
- The CDC performed strongly in parliamentary elections, placing the coalition in a strong position whether as the ruling party or the opposition.
- Localised protests are unlikely to disrupt the election; reports of voter intimidation, physical assaults against politicians or arson attacks targeting party premises, however, would indicate significantly increased risk of persistent and more violent protests and street fighting between rival groups, as observed in 2011.
A presidential run-off will take place in Liberia on 7 November between Joseph Boakai, current vice-president and flagbearer of the ruling Unity Party (UP), and George Weah, head of the opposition Coalition for Democratic Change (CDC).
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