CONTENT PREVIEW
Terrorism & Insurgency

Terrorism risk remains contained despite suicide VBIED in Lebanon and Hizbullah's overstretch

23 June 2014

Key Points

  • Hizbullah will be under pressure to replace some Iraqi militias being withdrawn from Syria.
  • Rebels are likely to see the withdrawal of Iraqi militias and Hizbullah's growing commitment as an opportunity to increase attacks against Hizbullah in Lebanon and government forces in Syria.
  • In Lebanon, Hizbullah and Lebanese security forces are likely to succeed in preventing a serious escalation by Sunni groups, but will not succeed in halting attacks completely.

EVENT

Lebanon's militant Shia Hizbullah organisation is deploying extra fighters into Syria, probably to fill the gap left by Iraqi Shia paramilitary forces which have been recalled home to confront an offensive by the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL).



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