Country Risk

BJP's attempt to split Muslim vote in India's Uttar Pradesh boosted by urban first-time voters

16 March 2014

Key Points

  • Uttar Pradesh, India's most populous state with a population of more than 200 million, accounts for 80 out of 543 seats in the Lok Sabha (lower house of parliament) and holds the key to the hopes of any political party or coalition wanting to form the government in New Delhi.
  • However, the state is divided along caste and communal lines and the complex caste and community calculus opens up a range of possibilities for different political parties ahead of the 2014 polls, with no indication of an outright winner in the state.
  • The ability of the four major parties in the state to navigate the communal and caste divisions along which votes are cast will be the key indicator of electoral success in Uttar Pradesh.

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